Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000670 0.000760 0.000855 0.000963 0.001082 0.001208 0.001352
2025-12-07 0.000527 0.000652 0.000792 0.000960 0.001157 0.001378 0.001643
2025-12-14 0.000444 0.000582 0.000744 0.000948 0.001195 0.001482 0.001838
2025-12-21 0.000378 0.000523 0.000701 0.000932 0.001221 0.001567 0.002009
2025-12-28 0.000344 0.000498 0.000694 0.000956 0.001292 0.001704 0.002241
2026-01-04 0.000312 0.000472 0.000681 0.000969 0.001348 0.001821 0.002451
2026-01-11 0.000278 0.000438 0.000655 0.000961 0.001374 0.001900 0.002612
2026-01-18 0.000248 0.000408 0.000630 0.000952 0.001396 0.001972 0.002765
2026-01-25 0.000228 0.000389 0.000619 0.000961 0.001440 0.002073 0.002957
2026-02-01 0.000208 0.000369 0.000604 0.000962 0.001473 0.002159 0.003129
2026-02-08 0.000182 0.000337 0.000571 0.000933 0.001462 0.002184 0.003220
2026-02-15 0.000161 0.000311 0.000543 0.000911 0.001459 0.002219 0.003323
2026-02-22 0.000147 0.000293 0.000527 0.000907 0.001481 0.002289 0.003478
2026-03-01 0.000134 0.000278 0.000514 0.000905 0.001506 0.002364 0.003642
2026-03-08 0.000120 0.000260 0.000495 0.000893 0.001516 0.002417 0.003774
2026-03-15 0.000107 0.000242 0.000475 0.000878 0.001519 0.002458 0.003891
2026-03-22 0.000102 0.000238 0.000479 0.000900 0.001579 0.002586 0.004133
2026-03-29 0.000096 0.000232 0.000476 0.000913 0.001626 0.002693 0.004347
2026-04-05 0.000088 0.000219 0.000463 0.000905 0.001639 0.002751 0.004492
2026-04-12 0.000080 0.000207 0.000449 0.000897 0.001651 0.002806 0.004630
2026-04-19 0.000075 0.000200 0.000445 0.000905 0.001689 0.002901 0.004832
2026-04-26 0.000069 0.000192 0.000437 0.000906 0.001715 0.002979 0.005008
2026-05-03 0.000061 0.000177 0.000414 0.000879 0.001693 0.002981 0.005070